The Currency markets never sleeps and several trillions dollars are traded everyday, making the Foreign Exchange Market the World’s biggest and most exciting investment market. In recent years, mechanical currency trading systems, using technical analysis to predict trend movements have become increasingly popular as a way of locking into, and profiting from the longer term currency trends.
Forex trading systems are ideal for generating profits from longer-term currency trends, and they occur in all currencies. The longer-term trends in Forex markets reflect the state of the economy. As economic cycles are relatively long and take years, so do the currency trends that reflect these cycles. A good Forex trading system can enable traders to lock into, and make profits from these longer-term trends. When choosing currencies to trade, it is important to have good long-term trends, but just as important is liquidity, which enables traders to lock in profits and exit losing trades quickly.
Currencies that offer good trends and liquidity include:
- The US Dollar
- Swiss Franc
- Euro
- Japanese Yen
- British Pound.
Forex trading systems remove emotions from trading, which is the major reason the majority of traders end up losing. There has been plenty of material written about using currency trading systems, and the works below provides informative reading for anyone thinking of using a Forex trading system.
Traders should try to read the following authors:
Edwin Lefeurve, Jake Bernstein, Larry Williams, Ken Roberts, Van Tharpe and Jack Shwager whose books "Market Wizards" and "The New Market Wizards" interview some of the most successful traders of all time, including the turtles. The Turtles are group of traders who had no prior trading experience, but went on to earn hundreds of millions of dollars, using very simple mechanical trading systems.
The developments in recent years in computer software, the growth of the Internet, and online trading, has seen Forex trading systems become more popular than ever. Software Packages such as Tradestation, Supercharts, Omni trader, and many more, allow traders to back test systems, using a variety of technical indicators that include:
- Forex Autopilot (F.A.P. Turbo)
- Stochastics
- Bollinger bands
- RSI
- moving averages
- ADX
And many more.
The Forex trading system picked can then be analyised, to see how it would have performed in the markets with commissions and slippage deducted. Traders, who don’t want to develop a currency trading system, can buy systems off the shelf from vendors.
How do you Choose a Successful Forex Trading System?
If you are buying a Forex trading system, there are several things to consider before parting with your hard earned cash:
1. Are you interested in being a day trader, or a trader looking for longer-term trends? You need to pick a system that you’re comfortable with and this is mostly down to personal preference. Some traders like the excitement of day trading others prefer a longer-term approach.
2. Do you want to have any input into the system, or do you want it to be totally mechanical?
3. Do you want to trade just one currency, or a basket of currencies? Using a Forex trading system that trades just one currency can be more profitable but keep in mind, the converse is true, i.e losses and drawdowns can be larger.
4. When choosing a trading system you need to have confidence to trade with it, and follow the system through losing periods. To do this you should know the logic the system is based upon. If you understand the system and its logic, you will derive confidence and be more likely to follow it - in contrast to one where the logic is not revealed.
5. What are the average profits you can expect in relation to drawdowns? All currency trading systems will have periods of drawdown and losses. Generally the larger the profits the bigger the drawdowns tend to be over time - so pick a system that reflects your investment aims and risk tolerance.
6. When you are buying a currency trading system, check out the system seller’s experience, track record, customer support. See whether they have a real-time track record, or a hypothetical one.
A real time track records means the system has performed in the market and made money. Trading systems that simply rely on hypothetical track records mean they have been back tested and with the benefit of hindsight we can all make money.
While hypothetical track records should be treated with a degree of caution, you can find out a lot about whether the system is likely to make money, by knowing the logic the system is based on. When considering a hypothetical track record, look for one where the logic is revealed and not a "black box system" where you have no idea how to system works.
In conclusion, you can make your own Forex trading system, or you can buy one from a vendor. When choosing one from a vendor make sure you do your homework, and remember, if it looks too good to be true, it probably is.
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