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Monday, August 31, 2009

Pagani Zonda R

This monster is called Pagani. It was originally developed by the same people that were working for Lamborghini, but they developed their own independent project and celled it Pagandi. This monster equipped Mercedes-AMG CLK GTR 6.0-litre V12 engine , and it produces 551kW (750 hp) @ 8,000 rpm and a maximum torque figure of 710Nm. As you can see this car not only looks nice, but it preform nice too!





The Zonda R is born with full liberty. The target: the ultimate performance at the racetrack without any implications of rules, except for safety, where no compromise is allowed.The power unit combined with a 6 speed transversal manual sequential synchronised gearbox is designed to satisfy the most ambitious drivers.

Overview of Islamic Banking

Islamic Economics

Islamic banking is based on the principles of Islamic economics — an economic framework in accordance with Islamic law (Sharia'h).

There are two types of Islamic economics:

* Caliphate , the Islamic form of government representing the political unity and leadership of the Muslim world (Islamic political framework)

* Assuming the political framework is non-Islamic, therefore, seeking to integrate some prominent Islamic tenets into a secular economic framework

Caliphate is the absolute Islamic rule, thus the economy focuses on distribution of resources in order to meet the basic and luxurious needs of individuals in society, and the state has a clear role in policing, taxation, managing public assets, and ensuring the circulation of wealth. Such a political framework in its true form does not exist in today's world.

Assuming non-Islamic political framework simply proposes two main tenets: no interest can be earned on loans and socially responsible investing. This is the way conventional banking is Islamized—the first step towards an Islamic economic framework.

Modern day Islamic scholars and academics have developed various modes of Sharia'h complaint financing that are designed to work within the prevailing capitalist economic framework. In order to achieve this balance numerous concessions have been afforded to financial institutions that would not apply if a viable interest free economic system existed. The intention behind making these concessions is to encourage the evolution of this type of alternative system.

Islamic Banking


Islamic banking refers to a system of banking or banking activity that is consistent with Islamic law (Sharia’h) principles and guided by Islamic economics. In particular, Islamic law prohibits usury, the collection and payment of interest, also commonly called riba. Generally, Islamic law also prohibits trading in financial risk (which is seen as a form of gambling). In addition, Islamic law prohibits investing in businesses that are considered unlawful, or haraam.

Islamic finance has been gaining momentum on a global scale for the last 30 years.

Many Islamic Banks have sprung up over the last few years. These changes are occurring both in Muslim and in western countries, and are driven by a global trend amongst Muslims to become more observant of their faith. It might have been the reason why Islamic Banking emerged, however, today Islamic Banking is sought by Muslims and non-Muslims due to the benefits it offers.

Industry size is currently estimated at more than $400 billion, with projected growth of 15% per annum.

Financial institutions around the globe are trying to keep pace with the growing demand for Sharia’h compliant products and services.

Bai Salam - Features & Conditions

Bai salam

Bai salam means a contract in which advance payment is made for goods to be delivered later on. The seller undertakes to supply some specific goods to the buyer at a future date in exchange of an advance price fully paid at the time of contract. It is necessary that the quality of the commodity intended to be purchased is fully specified leaving no ambiguity leading to dispute. The objects of this sale are goods and cannot be gold, silver, or currencies based on these metals. Barring this, Bai Salam covers almost everything that is capable of being definitely described as to quantity, quality, and workmanship.

Basic features and conditions of salam

  1. The transaction is considered Salam if the buyer has paid the purchase price to the seller in full at the time of sale. This is necessary so that the buyer can show that they are not entering into debt with a second party in order to eliminate the debt with the first party, an act prohibited under Sharia. The idea of Salam is to provide a mechanism that ensures that the seller has the liquidity they expected from entering into the transaction in the first place. If the price were not paid in full, the basic purpose of the transaction would have been defeated. Muslim jurists are unanimous in their opinion that full payment of the purchase price is key for Salam to exist. Imam Malik is also of the opinion that the seller may defer accepting the funds from the buyer for two or three days, but this delay should not form part of the agreement.
  2. Salam can be effected in those commodities only the quality and quantity of which can be specified exactly. The things whose quality or quantity is not determined by specification cannot be sold through the contract of salam. For example, precious stones cannot be sold on the basis of salam, because every piece of precious stones is normally different from the other either in its quality or in its size or weight and their exact specification is not generally possible.
  3. Salam cannot be effected on a particular commodity or on a product of a particular field or farm. For example, if the seller undertakes to supply the wheat of a particular field, or the fruit of a particular tree, the salam will not be valid, because there is a possibility that the crop of that particular field or the fruit of that tree is destroyed before delivery, and, given such possibility, the delivery remains uncertain. The same rule is applicable to every commodity the supply of which is not certain.
  4. It is necessary that the quality of the commodity (intended to be purchased through salam) is fully specified leaving no ambiguity which may lead to a dispute. All the possible details in this respect must be expressly mentioned.
  5. It is also necessary that the quantity of the commodity is agreed upon in unequivocal terms. If the commodity is quantified in weights according to the usage of its traders, its weight must be determined, and if it is quantified through measures, its exact measure should be known. What is normally weighed cannot be quantified in measures and vice versa.
  6. The exact date and place of delivery must be specified in the contract.
  7. Salam cannot be effected in respect of things which must be delivered at spot. For example, if gold is purchased in exchange of silver, it is necessary, according to Shari'ah, that the delivery of both be simultaneous. Here, salam cannot work. Similarly, if wheat is bartered for barley, the simultaneous delivery of both is necessary for the validity of sale. Therefore the contract of salam in this case is not allowed.

Terminologies of Islamic Banking

Bai' al-inah (sale and buy-back agreement)

The financier sells an asset to the customer on a deferred-payment basis, and then the asset is immediately repurchased by the financier for cash at a discount. The buying back agreement allows the bank to assume ownership over the asset in order to protect against default without explicitly charging interest in the event of late payments or insolvency. Some scholars believe that this is not compliant with Shariah principles.

Bai' bithaman ajil (deferred payment sale)

This concept refers to the sale of goods on a deferred payment basis at a price, which includes a profit margin agreed to by both parties. This is similar to Murabahah, except that the debtor makes only a single installment on the maturity date of the loan. By the application of a discount rate, an Islamic bank can collect the market rate of interest

Bai muajjal (credit sale)

Literally bai muajjal means a credit sale. Technically, it is a financing technique adopted by Islamic banks that takes the form of murabaha muajjal. It is a contract in which the bank earns a profit margin on the purchase price and allows the buyer to pay the price of the commodity at a future date in a lump sum or in installments. It has to expressly mention cost of the commodity and the margin of profit is mutually agreed. The price fixed for the commodity in such a transaction can be the same as the spot price or higher or lower than the spot price.

Mudarabah (profit sharing)

Mudarabah is an arrangement or agreement between the bank, or a capital provider, and an entrepreneur, whereby the entrepreneur can mobilize the funds of the former for its business activity. The entrepreneur provides expertise, labor and management. Profits made are shared between the bank and the entrepreneur according to predetermined ratio. In case of loss, the bank loses the capital, while the entrepreneur loses his provision of labor. It is this financial risk, according to the Shariah, that justifies the bank's claim to part of the profit. The profit-sharing continues until the loan is repaid. The bank is compensated for the time value of its money in the form of a floating rate that is pegged to the debtor's profits.

Murabahah (cost plus)

This concept refers to the sale of goods at a price, which includes a profit margin agreed to by both parties. The purchase and selling price, other costs, and the profit margin must be clearly stated at the time of the sale agreement. The bank is compensated for the time value of its money in the form of the profit margin. This is a fixed-income loan for the purchase of a real asset (such as real estate or a vehicle), with a fixed rate of profit determined by the profit margin. The bank is not compensated for the time value of money outside of the contracted term (i.e., the bank cannot charge additional profit on late payments); however, the asset remains as a mortgage with the bank until the Murabaha is paid in full.

This type of transaction is similar to rent-to-own arrangements for furniture or appliances that are very common in North American stores.

Musawamah

Musawamah is the negotiation of a selling price between two parties without reference by the seller to either costs or asking price. While the seller may or may not have full knowledge of the cost of the item being negotiated, they are under no obligation to reveal these costs as part of the negotiation process. This difference in obligation by the seller is the key distinction between Murabaha and Musawamah with all other rules as described in Murabaha remaining the same. Musawamah is the most common type of trading negotiation seen in Islamic commerce.

Bai salam

Bai salam means a contract in which advance payment is made for goods to be delivered later on. The seller undertakes to supply some specific goods to the buyer at a future date in exchange of an advance price fully paid at the time of contract. It is necessary that the quality of the commodity intended to be purchased is fully specified leaving no ambiguity leading to dispute. The objects of this sale are goods and cannot be gold, silver, or currencies based on these metals. Barring this, Bai Salam covers almost everything that is capable of being definitely described as to quantity, quality, and workmanship.

Shariah Advisory Council/Consultant

slamic banks and banking institutions that offer Islamic banking products and services (IBS banks) are required to establish a Shariah Supervisory Board (SSB) to advise them and to ensure that the operations and activities of the bank comply with Shariah principles. On the other hand, there are also those who believe that no form of banking can ever comply with the Shariah.

In Malaysia, the National Shariah Advisory Council, which additionally set up at Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), advises BNM on the Shariah aspects of the operations of these institutions and on their products and services. In Indonesia the Ulama Council serves a similar purpose.

A number of Shariah advisory firms (either standalone or subsidiaries of larger financial groups) have now emerged to offer Shariah advisory services to the institutions offering Islamic financial services. Issue of independence, impartiality and conflicts of interest have also been recently voiced.

Islamic Banking - Defination

Islamic banking refers to a system of banking or banking activity that is consistent with the principles of Islamic law (Sharia) and its practical application through the development of Islamic economics. Sharia prohibits the payment of fees for the renting of money (Riba, usury) for specific terms, as well as investing in businesses that provide goods or services considered contrary to its principles (Haraam, forbidden). While these principles were used as the basis for a flourishing economy in earlier times, it is only in the late 20th century that a number of Islamic banks were formed to apply these principles to private or semi-private commercial institutions within the Muslim community.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Analysis EURUSD 082809

Trade Notebook

Currency Pair : EUR/USD Date: Thursday, August 28, 2009

Hourly

Elliott Wave:

There is a clear 5 wave up movement that stopped against a long term trendline and possibly truncated the fifth wave.

Classic:

A lower high found resistance at 1.44 possibly causing a reversal. Also, it could be considered a double top at the resistance lin ethere since Sept. ’08.

Daily

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

An expanding wedge might be forming, with a truncated fifth wave. Expanding wedges usually stop at the upper line of the wedge. We need to see if price is capable of penatrating the resistance at 1.44.

Classic:

Price is held by 3 forces, a channel support, a long term resistance since sept. ’08 at 1.44 and an upper channel support possibly at 1.46. Wait for the triangle to break to make your move. It is unclear now where it will break first.

Weekly


Elliott Wave:

We can see a 3-3-5 flat from the 1.23 lows and wave 2 is almost, if not already completed. Prices are held by the 61.8% retrace and the MACD is closing and turning bearish. Expecting a reversal soon that should take out the 2329 low.

Classic:

Price retraced 61.8% and candle sticks are showing very spikey wicks in this area indicating heavy resistance. If price is unable to penatrate the 61.8% long term resistance, I am expecting a big downturn probably back to 2329.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://forexworlduk.blogspot.com is given and the author is given credit.

This newsletter gives trade setup information for use of the author. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading , can and will cause huge losses.

Friday, August 28, 2009

INDIAN NICE SONG SALMAN KHAN AND PRITY ZIENTTA

Kyon Ki Itna Pyaar

Hum Dil De Chuke Sanam

Duniya mein kitni hai nafrate-MOHABBATEIN

Sun zarra - salman khan

Kalyug - zuda hoke bhi

Sach keh raha hai deewana

Toh phir aao-awarapan

tanhayee (dil chahta hai)

tanhayee (dil chahta hai)

bhula deenge tum ko sanam dheere dheere-hkdkg

tadap tadap ke-hum dil de chuke sanam

Aye Khuda tu ney Muhabbat yeah

Aye Khuda tu ney Muhabbat yeah

eurusd 082009

Trade Notebook

Currency Pair : EUR/USD Date: Thursday, August 20, 2009

Bullish view

Elliott Wave:

Here we have a double zigzag with lots of potential to go to the upside. It would still be a wave C and should not go past the 1.60 top.

Classic:

The trendline that has been holding since Feb is still holding and prices bounced off indicating short term strength.

Bearish view

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

A leading diagonal could be forming, but also a start of a big move down in form of wave 3 in which I prefer the latter scenario as it counts a little better.

Classic:

A series of lower highs have been developping and we can see a downtrend forming. A break of the Feb channel at 4135 is needed for further weakness, 4335 needs to be taken out to be bullish.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://dodearclub.blogspot.com/ is given and the author is given credit.

This newsletter gives trade setup information for use of the author. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading , can and will cause huge losses.

Trade Update - August 18, 2009

Currency Pair : EUR/USD

Status: Closed out.

EURUSD seems to be moving in 3's and is unable to break through the lower trendline.
Best is to close out now and wait for further development. Trading is dynamic and the market always changes. Best is to take profit when the market makes it available to you. When it is about to close the window of opportunity, it is best to take profit and wait for the next opportunity.

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

This daily chart counts very well as a double zigzag and the bottom treendline is not allowing the price to drop outside of the channel.

Indicators (RSI & MACD):

MACD flat around the 0.00 line. Bearish if it breaks through, but could also bounce up.

Trading result:

Was short at the 61.8% (1.43) and met first target 1.41 moves stops to break even, gained 200 pips. Added to position at 4085 3 contracts short.

Closed all positions at 4076. Gained 2x224 pips and 3x9 pips= 648+27=675 pips.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://dodearclub.blogspot.com/ is given and the author is given credit.

This blog is used as a trading diary and gives a trade setup for use of the author for training purposes. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading , can and will cause huge losses.


Dow Analysis 81209

Dow Jones Chart

Back in February I did a number of Dow Jones analysis where I predicted the temporary bottom of 7000, it actually went to 6500. Since then we have seen an uptrend, but very important, the uptrend cannot be counted as an impulse. It is a correction and most likely an WXY double zigzag correction.

The prediction in February was a Dow back to 9500-10000 area. That is happening as we speak, we are already at the bottom of the target area and caution is now required for a reverasal. (For a history of the analysis click the “Dow” label bottom right of this webpage.)

February Chart

Current Chart (weekly)

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

With WXY double zigzags we are looking for equality between wave W and wave Y, that would put the dow at 10532.08 a little over the 50% fibonacci retrace from 14217 to 6460.

What you can see here in the longer term is that this is counted as an expanded flat. The top of 14217 is actually a wave B. Even if counted as a wave (5), we would still have the end of wave 1) at 6460.

What you cannot see on this chart is that wave (2) of supercycle degree was rather sharp. Elliott Wave guidelines say that when wave 2 is sharp wave 4 will likely be a sideways correction, a triangle of some form. That means we will be in for a long recession.

Indicators (RSI & MACD):

MACD is turning bullish on the weekly chart by crossing the o (zero) line, it will be interesting to see if it can stay above zero on a downturn. A cross back down will be a vey bearish sign.

Fundaments/News:

Fundamentals are all over the place. Optimism is at a high, giving caution to us contrarians. Best thing is that all economists are falling all over each other to say what kind of recovery this is, u, v, or w recovery. 2/3 says this is a u shaped recovery. Well, we have a “v-shaped” reversal from the 6460 low, but are no way near a recovery yet.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://dodearclub.blogspot.com/ is given and the author is given credit.

This newsletter gives a trade setup for use of the author. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading or trading where large leverage positions are used , can and will cause huge losses.




Trade update eurusd 081209

Trade Update
Currency Pair : EUR/USD

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

Trading is dynamic and things change. It appears to be an irregular bottom here, or better known as “expanded flat” where wave b exceeds the bottom of wave 5. The problem with this structure is that there in no real good guideline to determine where wave c is going to land. It could be anywhere. As a guideline wave c=a*1.38, but could also be a*2.0 or anything in between. Since we don’t know we need to adust our strategy for trading the 3rd wave.

The entry is now changed to the bottom of wave b @ 4087. This trade is invalid above 4449. Stop would be above the top of wave c.. Targets 1.39, 1.38 and 1.37. Move stops each time a target is hit.

Indicators (RSI & MACD):

RSI showing divergence between bottom of 5 and bottom of b, and between bottom of 3 and b, bullish indication.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://dodearclub.blogspot.com is given and the author is given credit.

This newsletter gives a trade setup for use of the author. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading , can and will cause huge losses.

analysis eurusd 080909

EURUSD Analysis

Currency Pair : EUR/USD August 9, 2009

1-hour

Comment:

Elliott Wave:

The 4h chart is not as clear as the weekly or the hourly chart. Price was unable to penetrate the 61.8% resistance @1.46 and stalled at 1.4445 where a double top was formed. I am now waiting for confirmation in form of a 5 wave decline and 3 wave up. But the fact that in wave 5, the territory of wave 1 was violated, gives me confidence that we are dealing with a reversal. One caveat, the latest top at 1.4445 was in 3 waves, so an expanded flat could be occuring here.

Indicators (RSI & MACD):

MACD and RSI showing divergence and trend reversal on all timescales except yet the weekly where now the MACD is flattening and showing a sign of crossing over.

Fundaments/News:

Fundamental news is a mess right now. Better than expected job data supposedly caused the dollar to strengthen, but more significant is that oil dropped. Also the SP500 still made gains and correlation between eurusd and eurjpy is now not gone. For the time being.

Reference Charts:

Oil

SP500

EURJPY

Comment:

Oil broke down while SP500 made more gains. SP500 is at a critical level in this bear market rally and I think it will turn within th enext couple weeks for another bear run. Note how eurjpy is following the SP500 and eurusd is following oil.

Elliott Wave Pattern Alternates:

4 hour

The 4006 level interferred with wave I of 5 of this latest move up. The 4445 top can be counted in 3 waves, which gives us an expanded flat and thus a wave C that is currently in progress, instead of the reversal depicted above. Wave C in an expanded flat or irregulat top can retrace to the origin of wave B. It can run past it and there is really no good guideline to determine its length. But the important thing is that in this case a new top can be formed by another impuls up. That is why trading this pair short comes with significant risk and that will affect the stops.

Trading:

Ideal Elliott Wave Pattern:

Ideal Trading Plan:

Idealy we wait for wave a or 1 to complete. Remember we are speculating on a reversal and wave a would then be labelled as wave 1. Then we wait for the retrace and the entry would be at the 61.8% retrace which is possibly around 1.43. stop would be at 4445.

I am not going to trade a reversal as upward from 4445 is a fibonacci cluster and there is no real target to trade to. An alternate stop could be 4343, more risk but better R/R.

R/R:

Risk is 145 pips. Targets for this trade: 3 lots targets 1.41, 1.40, 1.39.

Total pips: 900 R/R= 435:900 = 1:2

Money Management:

3 lots combined should not add up to more than 3 % of your balance taken the stoploss into account, total pips at risk is 435.

Traders Wisdom of the Day:

The market is the market, it is not there to get you. It gives you the opportunity to jump in at any time to make a profit. It doesn’t care if you are right or wrong. Take ownership of your trades and don’t blame the market for losses.

Disclaimer:

All rights reserved. Anything on this letter may be distributed, copied or otherwise used if a reference to http://dodearclub.blogspot.com/ is given and the author is given credit.

This newsletter gives a trade setup for use of the author. This is not trading advise and the author shall not be responsible for trading losses if the reader decides to trade upon the information herein.

Trading, especially currency trading , can (and will at times) cause huge losses.

Update GBPUSD

Update on the GBPUSD trade: Closed out all positions.
The current wave structure is not clear. We could have a wave 3 top with potential for another run up, or we could have a long term top at 1.70.
The indicators are bearish and eventhough we might get a run up, it is unlikely that this week a new top will be set. The risk has increased to hold on to this trade much longer.
result:
Entry 1.6590
TP1 @ 6850 = 260 pips
TP2 @ 6850 = 260 pips
TP3 @ 6850 = 260 pips
Total = 780 pips.
Now we wait for the next trade setup. This trade did not go exactly as planned. But because this is a wave 5 of 5, you always risk a truncation that is why I think this was handled well. Rool with the punches an take what the market gives you.

GBPUSD update

Here is an update on the GBPUSD trade from Friday.
Entry was as 6590.
I deviated from the plan and took 2 lots out at 1.6850.
Moved stop to b/e on the 3rd lot.
Profit now 520 pips. Reason is that 3rd wave is close to its extension max and the target of 1.70 was above the 1.618 extension of wave 1.

eurusd trade result

Here is the result from Thursday's trade:
All targets hit!
Entry 1.4012
First Target 1.41 = 88 pips
Second Target 1.42 =188 pips
Third Target 1.43= 288 pips
Total 564 pips.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

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