May 20th EUR/USD and GBP/USD

EUR/USD is trading @ 1.3592; yesterday High 1.3667, low 1.3537;right now the rate is moving down from 1.3667 (it's max) with a correction of around 30%;I see a good support @ 1.3570 area, If the rate will fail it I see a bullish movement to area 1.3720; after 1.3570 I see another support @ 1.3540;a good strategy may be to sell around @ 1.3700, stop loss @ 1.3745, take profit @ 1.3650;not big space for a trade...here some support and resistance: R3 1.3866; R2 1.3736; R1 1.3675; S1 1.3545; S2 1.3476;no need of S3 ;)GBP/USD is trading @ 1.5481; yeasterday...

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EUR/USD May 19th update

The rate is trading @ 1.3632; today it moved from a low @1.3537 to a high @ 1.3667;right now I do not see any clear opportunity to trade; the rate may move up to 1.3700 and so will go to check the resistance @ 1.3720-40; or it may move down to 1.3570 or further to 1.3540; tomorrow news should not have a big impact on the rate; so to me looks much more possible it will go to 1.3720 area;here are some support and resistance:R1 1.3689;R2 1.3743;R3 1.3873;S1 1.3559;S2 1.3483;S3 1.3353;will see the overnight developement and maybe tomorrow there will...

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May 19th EUR/USD analysis and opportunities

Yesterday the rate moved from a min @ 1.3469 to a max @ 1.3569; it close at it's max.early this morning there was a small correction almost 23%, so I would consider that we didn't had any since this movement up started;right now this movement up may be seen as a 70% correction of last friday bearish movement; 1.3600 is also a good support; psycologic and because it was the max of the last retracement in friday trend.some support and resistence: R1 1.3502; R21.3435; S1 1.3602; S3 1.3635It seems really difficult that the rate will go further over...

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May 18th EUR/USD trading opportunity update

The EUR/USD opened this week @ 1.3484 and went straight down to 1.3423;after that it made a correction to 1.3473: around 23% of the last bearish movement;I do not see a clear opportunity; it may move down to 1.3420 again and try to break it or it my go up for a correction @ 1.3559;my trading plan is clearly changed:I didn't open any new position so far;I have close 3x of the 6x units I have opened last friday;I am going to take profit every 50 pips for each unit; 1.3450(right now); 1.34 and 1.3350.If there will an up movement before I close all...

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May 18th EUR/USD trading opportunity

On monday no big news are coming out; so if I quick look at the tecnical analysis it says that last friday after a bad news on the Euro side the rate went down from 1.3640 to 1.3520 to correct to 1.3610...that was 76.4% it went down to 1.3466 after that;the closing price was 1.3492. I see tthe current scenario: the rate will open @ 1.3492 and will go up to 135.10 or upper to 1.3533 and than will ride down to 1.3400;some support and resistance: R1 1.3603; R2 1.3715; 1.3898; S1 1.3420; S2 1.3349; S3 1.3166;here is my trading plan:I will sell 1 unit...

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Opportunity traders in comparison with technical and fundamental traders

What's an opportunity trader? An opportunity trader is a trader that looks at the market to determine when there is a distortion; the market is run by humans and the consequence is that it is not perfect; it is really often subject to distortions and those distortions represent the right opportunity for a trader to make some money betting on the event that the market will cross its equilibrium;The recognized method used to analyse the markets are technical and fundamental analysis, the problem is that they both are used to try to predict future...

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EUR/USD in light of the German preliminary GDP

After a movement up yesterday I was expecting a correction...a good one at least of 61.8% :)didn't happend; but happend that the french prelim GDP is down better than expectation but worse than last time (just a little bit); but the German GDP is down 3.8%, 0.8 more than expectation and 1.7 more than last time; somebody may see the bottom of the recession, what I see is that I wouldn't buy any EUR/USD in light of such a bad data, the all euro area GDP should be affected;there are still some important data today, but if I was long I would cover...

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EUR/USD after the unemployment claims data

After yesterday correction the EUR/USD rate was @ 1.3620 this morning; right before the data release it was down to 1.3533 (probably will be the min of today);this movement may be seen as the possibility of some long position ready to cover...just in case;the data was worst than the expectation, but somebody said: because of last week event, something occasional...not sure, maybe just a statistcal disturb;anyway the PPI and the unemployment claims were clearly bullysh for the rate and that happend it went up to 1.3664 (probably the max of today);tomorrow...

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EUR/USD MAY 14 trade opportunity

EUR/USD right now is trading @ 1.3570; around 15 pips higher than yesterday minimum;yesterday we had a perfect bearish day: high 1.3715; low 1.3526; at 1.3580 we had a ritracement of 61.8% @ 1.3655 to close than @ 1.3553.In my opinion the rate is still overvalued, there is a lot of long position that is starting getting scared of it; today there will be lots of Data; If the Data about the unemployment claim will be not worse than expected I see the possibility of some long cover... that mean the rate may go down violently.so here are some resistanse...

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13/May EUR/USD opportunity update

The EUR/USD moved today from 1.3721 to 1.3569 so far;today data are supporting a correction of the rate that last 5 days moved up over my expectation: I said 200 pips overvalued. To me looks like the rate will have a correction to 1.342right now the EUR/USD is around 1.3592;in my vision the first support is 1.3569; a break of it would push the rate down to:s1 1.3533; s2 1.3453; s3 1.3323; r1 1.3685; r2 1.3779...I would say 1.3721;here is my plan:I will sell 1 unit right now @ 1.3592and @ 1.3650 I will sell one unit; stop loss @ 1.3690; take profit...

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EUR/USD today opportunity

Since thursday the euro has been stronger than my expetation vs the euro;I think a "correction" of about 200 pips will happend, but when?Yesterday after US trade balance data there was a tendence to recover vs the euro from the dollar;right now that recovery is zero; euro/usd is trading at 1.3693;if French CPI and EU industrial production will be not better than the forecast I see an opportunity to sell EUR/USD with a target 1.3600;if we will have also a not worse than expected data from US I think is the day where at least part of the 200 pips...

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